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Toll Brothers DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?
Toll Brothers DCF Stock Analysis.
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Toll Brothers DCF Stock Analysis
Here’s my assumptions:
Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 3.98%
Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%
Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 1%
Last 24 months Beta: 1.24
Historical Data
Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 10.03%
Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 15.77%
Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): / (from -$137.6 M to $420.3 last TTM)
Future Assumptions
End of Year FCF growth: 5%
Growth until end of 2026: 10%
Growth until end of 2034: 5%
Perpetual growth: 3%
Net Debt: 2.241B
Restricted Stock Units + Performance Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.141B
Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $102
Last update 08/14/2025
All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.
I don’t have a position in Toll Brothers (TOL) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.