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Old Dominion Freight Line DCF Stock Analysis

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 3.89%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 1%

Last 24 Months Beta: 1.13

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 6.94%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 14.56%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 29.12%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 15%

Growth until end of 2026: 25%

Growth until end of 2034: 10%

Perpetual growth: 3.1%

Net Debt: 0.146B

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.026B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $126

Last update 09/21/2025

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.