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Nvidia DCF Stock Analysis.
Here’s my assumptions:
Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.131%
Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%
Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 1%
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HISTORICAL DATA
Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 38.54%
Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 61.23%
Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 46.46%
FUTURE ASSUMPTIONS
End of Year FCF growth: 40%
Growth until end of 2026: 40%
Growth until end of 2034: 30%
Perpetual growth: 3.2%
Net Debt: -32.940B (Positive)
Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $36.720B
Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $210
Last update 05/18/2025
All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.
I don’t have a position in Nvidia (NVDA) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.