Match Group’s DCF Stock Analysis

Here’s my assumptions for $MTCH ( ▼ 2.47% ) :

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.13%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 4%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 0.74%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 16.52%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 9.87%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 5%

Growth until end of 2026: 9%

Growth until end of 2034: 7%

Perpetual growth: 3%

Net Debt: 3.097B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.034B

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $0.422B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $77

Last update 07/20/2025

Data Source for the analysis: SEEKING ALPHA

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All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Match Group (MTCH) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.