Expedia DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?

Expedia DCF Stock Analysis.

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Expedia DCF Stock Analysis

Here’s my assumptions for $EXPE ( ▼ 2.57% ) :

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.03%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 3%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 7.45%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 4.90%

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 3.60%

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 5%

Growth until end of 2026: 10%

Growth until end of 2034: 8%

Perpetual growth: 8%

Net Debt: - 0.174B (Positive)

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.142B

Restricted Stock Units + Performance Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $1.510B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $103

Last update 08/24/2025

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in Expedia (EXPE) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.