- Hustle Hub Stocks
- Posts
- Caterpillar DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?
Caterpillar DCF Stock Analysis. Buy or Sell?
Caterpillar DCF Stock Analysis
The key to a $1.3T opportunity
A new trend in real estate is making the most expensive properties obtainable. It’s called co-ownership, and it’s revolutionizing the $1.3T vacation home market.
The company leading the trend? Pacaso. Created by the founder of Zillow, Pacaso turns underutilized luxury properties into fully-managed assets and makes them accessible to the broadest possible market.
The result? More than $1b in transactions, 2,000+ happy homeowners, and over $110m in gross profits for Pacaso.
With rapid international growth and 41% gross profit growth last year, Pacaso is ready for what’s next. They even recently reserved the Nasdaq ticker PCSO.
But the real opportunity is now, before public markets. Until 5/29, you can join leading investors like SoftBank and Maveron for just $2.80/share.
This is a paid advertisement for Pacaso’s Regulation A offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.pacaso.com. Reserving a ticker symbol is not a guarantee that the company will go public. Listing on the NASDAQ is subject to approvals. Under Regulation A+, a company has the ability to change its share price by up to 20%, without requalifying the offering with the SEC.
Caterpillar DCF Stock Analysis
Here’s my assumptions:
Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 4.281%
Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%
Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 3.5%
Historical Data
Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 3.26%
Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 15.69%
Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): -0.32%
Future Assumptions
End of Year FCF growth: 3%
Growth until end of 2026: 4%
Growth until end of 2034: 4%
Perpetual growth: 3%
Net Debt: 35.847B
Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $19.177B
Stock Appreciation Rights Valuation Assumption: $0.457B
Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $4.004B
Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $336
Last update 05/26/2025
All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.
I don’t have a position in Caterpillar (CAT) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.