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AMD DCF Stock Analysis

Here’s my assumptions:

Risk Free Rate (10 Years Interest Rate Swap): 3.97%

Risk Premium (Taken from the Aswath Damodaran equity premium spreadsheet): 4.33%

Interest Rate Spread on The Risk free rate ( For the cost of debt calculation): 1%

Historical Data

Revenue growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): 20.51%

Earnings growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): / (from -$660M to positive $2.834B)

Unlevered Free Cash Flow growth in the last 10 years (CAGR): / (from -$15M to positive $2.396B)

Future Assumptions

End of Year FCF growth: 20%

Growth until end of 2026: 40%

Growth until end of 2034: 20%

Perpetual growth: 3.1%

Net Debt: -1.981B

Outstanding Stock Options Present Value Assumption: $0.145B

Restricted Stock Units Present Value Assumption: $5.18B

Stock Valuation based on these assumptions: $113

Last update 08/31/2025

All the content in this newsletter should be taken as informational content only. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Do your own Due Diligence before investing or contact a professional financial advisor.

I don’t have a position in AMD (AMD) and I don’t plan to add a position in the coming days.